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Alligator Strategy

Master trend following and momentum trading with our comprehensive Alligator analysis

Overview

  • The Alligator indicator, created by Bill Williams, helps identify market trends and periods of consolidation.
  • It consists of three smoothed moving averages representing the Alligator’s Jaw, Teeth, and Lips.
  • It helps traders determine whether the market is trending or ranging.

How Alligator Works

1.

Jaw (Blue Line)

A 13-period smoothed moving average shifted by 8 periods, representing the long-term trend.

2.

Teeth (Red Line)

An 8-period smoothed moving average shifted by 5 periods, representing the medium-term trend.

3.

Lips (Green Line)

A 5-period smoothed moving average shifted by 3 periods, representing the short-term trend.

Key Strategies

1. Trend Identification

  • When all three lines align and move in the same direction, it indicates a strong trend.
  • When the lines intertwine, it suggests a ranging or consolidating market.

2. Entry Signals

  • Buy when the Lips cross above the Teeth and Jaw in an uptrend.
  • Sell when the Lips cross below the Teeth and Jaw in a downtrend.

3. Exit Signals

  • Exit long positions when the Lips cross below the Teeth.
  • Exit short positions when the Lips cross above the Teeth.

Limitations

  • Lag: Due to smoothing, signals can be late in fast-moving markets.
  • Best in trends: Performance degrades in ranging markets and may produce false signals.