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Alligator Trading Strategy
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Key Concepts of the Alligator Indicator
  1. Alligator’s Jaw (Blue Line):
    A 13-period moving average smoothed by 8 periods, reflecting the long-term market direction.
  2. Alligator’s Teeth (Red Line):
    An 8-period moving average smoothed by 5 periods, aligning with the medium-term trend.
  3. Alligator’s Lips (Green Line):
    A 5-period moving average smoothed by 3 periods; faster to react and represents short-term movement.
Alligator’s Behavior in the Market
The Alligator helps visualize market condition and timing of entries/exits:
  1. Sleeping Alligator:
    Lines are intertwined; market is ranging/sideways. Many traders wait for clearer direction.
  2. Waking Alligator:
    Lines start to separate; a new trend may begin. Traders look for entries in the breakout direction.
  3. Feeding Alligator:
    Lines fan out strongly; trend is established. Many traders hold positions during this phase.
  4. Sated Alligator:
    Lines converge again; momentum fades. Consider taking profits or preparing for reversal/consolidation.
Applying the Alligator Trading Strategy
  1. Identify the Trend:
    Wide, aligned lines suggest a strong trend; intertwined lines suggest consolidation.
  2. Enter When It Wakes Up:
    Use the initial separation as an entry signal in the direction of emerging trend.
  3. Hold During Feeding:
    As separation widens, many traders hold to capture the trending move.
  4. Exit When It Falls Asleep:
    Convergence indicates waning momentum; consider exiting or tightening risk.
Combining the Alligator Strategy with Other Indicators
  1. Fractals:
    Use Williams Fractals to mark potential reversal points and confirm entries/exits.
  2. Momentum Indicators:
    RSI or MACD can confirm trend strength alongside Alligator alignment.
  3. Volume Analysis:
    Higher volume on breakouts supports the 'waking' phase and trend validity.
Example of the Alligator Strategy in Action

After a consolidation where Jaw, Teeth and Lips are intertwined, the Lips cross above Teeth and Jaw and the lines begin to separate, signaling a potential bullish trend.

As the spread widens (feeding phase), a long position is held. When lines converge again, consider exiting to secure profits before a possible reversal.

Pros and Cons of the Alligator Strategy
Pros:
  1. Clear Trend Signals:
    Easy visualization of phases for entries/exits.
  2. Works Across Timeframes:
    Useful for forex, stocks and commodities on multiple horizons.
  3. Compatible with Other Tools:
    Pairs well with Fractals and momentum indicators.
Cons:
  1. Lags in Fast Markets:
    Smoothed MAs can delay signals in high volatility.
  2. False Signals in Ranges:
    Whipsaws may occur in low-volatility, sideways conditions.
Chart Example

An ideal setup shows the three lines tight (consolidation), then fanning out as the trend begins.

During 'waking'/'feeding' phases, entries and holds are favored; convergence suggests taking profits or caution.